Are we comprehending what is happening? Are we aware of the run that we have been on? Think about this....
A) A good stock investment is said to return just under 10%
B) Government bonds usually return 5% and 6%
C) Often you can flip goods for a 10% to 15% from Marketplace/Craigslist to Ebay
So far on Stacking the Bet we have returned..... 19%. Think about that, we have returned nearly double a safe stock investment. We are not gambling, we are investing. If this were an investing article - wouldn't you follow along and invest with the "expert."
Why not follow along and gamble with the expert? We are here for you, providing you the due diligence to at least make your own decisions and bets. Let's see if we can't hit something major and drive up that ROI for our investment. The fun part about this week? If we completely strike out (which we won't), we will still be up. But we don't think that way.... we think... WHAT WILL WE DO WITH OUR WINNINGS???
A) Steelers -6.5/Cardinals -3/Rams -2/Chargers -2: $15 to win $171
I) Steelers are the MNF game and represent a perfect opportunity to hedge our winnings.
II) Cardinals should rebound from their first loss and have a longer week to prepare for the game as they played last Thursday.
III) Rams should easily win this matchup with the Titans losing Henry and LAR securing up the defense.
IV) LAC should rebound from their loss against New England - Ekeler will have a big day against Philly.
B) Jets +10.5/Panthers -2/Chargers -2/Steelers -6.5: $10 to win $198
I) Jets have now beaten Bengals and Titans (full strength) - I will take the double digit points in a game where Wentz could easily give NYJ a touchdown or two.
II) Panthers represent great value as the underdog in this matchup... CMC may make his return and this offense could finally start clicking again.
III) LAC has a comfy matchup against Philly's defense and Herbert/Ekeler/Allen will have a field day.
IV) Steelers represent a perfect hedge opportunity against a week Chicago offense.
C) Big Bet: $5 to win $70,000
A breakdown of a few of the picks....
I) Panthers -3: Tremendous value for a team that is welcoming back the toughest cover in the NFL.
II) Falcons -2: Saints just lost their starting QB and Atlanta could easily pull off the upset with Pitts/Godwin/Patterson on the offensive side of the ball.
III) Browns -2: I do not care about the OBJ drama, Cleveland still has a tough defense and they have Chubb in the backfield.... they were a fumble and multiple drop balls away from beating Pitt.
IV) Chiefs -3: More than likely this line will change as this blog is posted.... no Rodgers.... Chiefs allllllll day!
V) Steelers -6.5: Cashout before this game is a no brainer.
D) Giants -2/Chargers -2/Dolphins/Steelers -6: $10 to win $122
I) Giants: A Raiders team that has now lost their head coach and number one receiver - open for the taking.
II) Chargers: No way Herbert and the boys drop two straight after being crowned the young darlings of the AFC.
III) Dolphins: They play the Texans - universally the worst team in the NFL.
IV) Steelers: Hedge on MNF.
E) Thursday Night Football SGP: Colts -2.5/J. Taylor TD/C. Davis TD/J. Taylor over 79 rushing/Jets first TD: $20 to win $520
Let's be honest, this bet really comes down to Jets first touchdown and Corey Davis anytime touchdown. Last week, the Jets looked good moving the ball against Cincy's defense and Indianapolis looked decent against the run of Tennessee. The opening on the Indianapolis defense is the secondary - which means Davis should have some looks. With that being said, if NYJ can manage to lock up the first touchdown... this has a chance to make this a tremendous week.
F) Round Robin: TNF and every 1 o'clock game to end with a favored team to win by 7-12 points: $21 to win a variety of payouts
Stay with me here....
We bet the different 2-game (10 cents), 3-game (10 cents), and 7-game (25 cents) combinations to end in with that winning margin. The different combinations payout different amounts - Round Robin style. If we happen to hit a 7-game combination we are winning anywhere between $70k and $200k. Why not? A Round Robin at least gives us an opportunity to stay alive if a game does not hit. It allows to still root for teams even though one of the legs of the parlay has already lost. We can still multiple 2-game and 3-game combos and not hit the 7-game combo.
We have 4 parts to this parlay/Round Robin, if one leg happens to fail - we still have a 3-game parlay left to try and recoup some of the money we wagered on the parlay.
I) M. Ryan: The Falcon offense is through the air - they throw the ball. Their top RB is a wide receiver, the top offense threat is a TE... Ryan could reach over 300 yards.
II) D. Parker had 8 receptions last week and more importantly he is averaging just under 9 targets a game when he plays. Gimme that all day!
III) J. Taylor over 103 rushing and receiving yards seems like a really low number for a player that has surpassed that total in 5 straight weeks.
IV) If you don't know by now... Pitt provides a perfect opportunity to hedge our bet.
We did go $1 over budget this week - but you won't sweat it when you are rolling in the BIG BUCKS!!
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