Week 3 Bets

It is time to keep this training rolling! We had a fantastic end to the 2nd week of the NFL, let's keep building on that and get completely out of the hole we dug in week 1. If you missed the last week's bet, no worries - WE ARE HITTING IT BIG THIS WEEK! 

Keep in mind though - the only way week 2 paid off was listening to the tweets from @FFDojoSensei. We tweeted out that you needed to double up on the Mahomes/Jackson week2 special - which paid off handsomely. We also hit our MNF play of Aaron Jones 2+ touchdowns. You already know this is a big week in terms of betting.... are we going to get completely out of the hole or dig a little deeper? No matter what happens - whether you join in on the fun or watch from the sidelines.... one thing is for certain: It is going to be one entertaining ride!!

Remember, these bets all take place on DraftKings Sportsbook - which also offers a 20% profit boost for each game this week. I will taking advantage of this whenever possible....

A) SGP - Panthers/Over 42.5 points/Darnold over 229.5 passing/3+ CMC receptions: $15 to win $43.50

Honestly, the only thing that scares me in this bet is the over 42.5 points. You could easily remove that portion of the parlay and feel extremely comfortable with every other portion. If Darnold is going to throw for over 230 yards... then you could easily assume that CMC is going to have at least 3 receptions. On top of that, the Texans held Baker Mayfield to 213 passing yards. This sounds bad, but keep in mind Mayfield didn't have OBJ, lost Landry, and for a good portion of the 2nd half held the lead against a team that recently lost their starting QB. The Texans will not have Tyrod Taylor this week - but they can prepare for it this time. The Panthers will look to feed CMC the ball - especially in the flats and screen area of the field and let their dynamic playmaker go to work. If this game reaches the over, this bet is as good as gold - time to finally start the week off right and hit a TNF bet! 

B) Saints -2.5/Raiders -1/Broncos -2.5: $25 to win $129.44

Let's break this bet down game by game....

Saints -2.5: Is this a gift from the bookies? I am confused, the original line is Saints +2.5 points. I get it, the Saints looked bad in week 2; but are we really going to believe that Kamara is going to have another week like that again? I mean the Patriots did face the Jets - who made that defense look a lot better than they actually are. Either I am missing something or this is just a gift to all degenerates, there is no way anyone in their right mind would think that New England should be favored in this game.

Raiders -1: I am a believer in the Raiders. They have speed on the outside (Ruggs), a smart QB (Carr), a walking mismatch (Waller). The Raiders defense is tough and aggressive and looks to get after the QB. Miami is in for a tough day, especially if Tagovailoa does play. Even he does play, this Raiders defense will be looking to knock him out of the game and then it is going to be a field day for the Raiders.

Broncos -2.5: Vonn Miller vs. Zach Wilson..... you take your pick.

C) Falcons/Giants - highest scoring game of the week: $10 to win $130

I get it, this is a sucker's bet - but hear me out. Atlanta have given up 32 and 48 points in week 1 and 2 respectively. New York have given up 27 and 30 points respectively. Neither one of these teams like to play defense. Both of these teams have enough firepower to score in the upper 30's. These are just too good of odds to pass up on a teams that give up that many points. Honestly, I think this game could finish in the top three highest scoring games of the week - if things fall right, it could finish number one - and I am willing to pay $10 to see just how many points they can score.

D) Buccs v Rams - no player score 2+ touchdowns: $15 to win $38.40

This is where I am taking advantage of the bonus 20% for each game. This is a week 3 special bet that originally sits at +130, but I boosted it to +156. There are so many weapons for both teams; I would have thought the "No" side of this bet would have been the negative juice, instead we are boosting a positive juice to make it even more juicy. Last week Gronk and Evans had multiple touchdowns, but this Los Angeles defense is much more formidable than Atlanta. Kupp had a monster game last week, but once again the Buccs defense should pose much more of a threat than what Indy was able to throw at Stafford.

E) Anderson/CMC/Cooks each over 80 receiving yards: $15 to win $465

Once again, taking advantage of the DraftKings 20% boost. This is under the hybrid players props. Don't get me wrong this is a degenerate's bet - but why not? If Darnold is going to have a big game, why not pepper CMC with checkdowns and then hit Anderson with a few bombs. Why not have Cooks catch a few garbage time receptions to get him over 80 yards? Why not make a couple 'bluefaces' on a degenerates' bet?

D) Yes, I know this is a NFL betting blog - but keep in mind, we are looking for value all over the board. This week represents something that rarely takes place. The Ryder Cup is a golf tournament between USA and Europe. The final day is played in singles matches that are scored in the format of match play. Which means that each individual hole is worth 1 point and you can either tie the hole or win it outright. The two golfers then play until one golfer has a lead too large for the other golfer to comeback and tie. However, often times this creates opportunities for golfers to end their singles match in a tie. On DraftKings, whenever possible a "tie" often times pays out large positive odds. We will be taking the last $20 from the $100 betting card and we will be placing it in a *round robin* of 6 random Ryder Cup singles matches to end in a tie. Follow @FFDojoSensei for the final play once the matchups are released.

*Round Robin: creating a betting card and betting the different combinations of possibilities to take place instead every single possibility. Example....

Round Robin Card: Events A, B, C, D, E are all bet on to win

3-bet Round Robin: ABC/ABD/ABE/ACD/ACE/ADE/BCD/BCE/BDE/CDE

4-bet Round Robin: ABCD/ABCE/ABDE/ACDE/BCDE

Each individual payout requires a bet, but you can bet as low as a .25 a scenario and still see big payouts. This is also a much easier way to place a parlay that you do not feel confident about "one leg" and still have a chance if that leg loses.

LET'S MAKE SOME MONEY!!!