Week 8 Predictions

There are always those weeks in the NFL when it looks like it is just going to be a biiiiigggg week..... THIS IS ONE OF THOSE WEEKS.

There are matchups that should provide easy wins and matchups that provide positive juice. If you are unaware of positive juice - it is referring to a team get positive odds when they may actually be the favorite. For example, if you look at the Tennessee Titans game against the Indianapolis Colts game this week.... the Titans are getting +105 as the odds... which places the team that recently beat the Kansas Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills as underdogs? Read that last statement one more time just for verification.

Keeping that concept in mind - we are going to try and throw together multiple bets that include heavy favorites and one or two underdogs. Let's see what we got on tap this week...

A) Bengals -3/Bills -2.5/Rams -3/Steelers -2.5: $20 to win $102

Bengals v Jets.... Bills v Dolphins... Rams v Texans.... each one of these games should be a lock. You have emerging playoff favorites against teams that are bottom of the barrel and quite possibly calling it a season.

Steelers are the underdogs against a Cleveland Browns team that is ridiculed with injuries. Chubb should be returning and Mayfield is a maybe - but one thing I know for sure, TJ Watt will playing on the defensive side of the ball for Pittsburgh. Watt is a game wrecker and as long as he is playing on the defensive side of the ball Pittsburgh has a chance to win any game. Pittsburgh is coming off their bye week and should have had plenty of time to prepare for this matchup.

B) Chiefs -3/Titans -2/Panthers -2/Packers and Cardinals over 43: $20 to win $201

Chiefs are the MNF football game and are heavy favorites - betting them gives a chance to hedge or ride it out with best squad in the matchup. The Titans are a team that playing some of the best football in the entire league and for whatever reason they are getting positive juice. The Panthers have a tough defense against Atlanta's offense - but Atlanta has proven that they can not stop anyone from moving the ball. However, this bet really gets rolling with Rodgers vs. Murray in what should be a complete shootout on TNF. This bet features two easy wins (TNF and MNF) and two teams that could easily pull off the upsets on Sunday.

C) Big Bet: $5 to win $24,000

  

This bet is filled with favorites giving up points and a few teams that could easily pull off the upset...

Steelers v Browns: Steelers are coming off a bye week and Cleveland is facing injury issues.

Titans v Colts: I still don't understand why the Titans are underdogs in this matchup.

Panthers v Falcons: I am not sold on the emergence of Pitts and Patterson as a duo that can carry a team.

Jaguars v Seahawks: The Jaguars are coming off a bye week and facing Geno Smith, why not?

Washington v Broncos: Washington has a decent air attack and good enough defense to make this happen.

IF NOT US, THEN WHO??

D) Henry+Taylor over 200 rushing/Harris+Ekeler 2+ TDs/Packers+Cards over 50: $10 to win $112

Two of these plays are from the DK weekly specials - both the running back plays. Henry and Taylor are the focal points of both these offenses and both should easily amount to over 100 yards rushing. Harris or Ekeler each have a chance to score 2 touchdowns on their own, let alone combined. Are we about to watch Madden take place before our very eyes on TNF - will either team be able to stop each other on offense?

E) Burrow over 260 passing/Patterson over 35 receiving/Hopkins over 125 rec. & +1 TD: $15 to win $681

This bet really comes down to Hopkins having a big night. TNF is shaping up to be a shootout and if Hopkins plays, the Green Bay secondary has been underwhelming as best. This could set up for a big night for Hopkins - if his portion of the bet hits, there are plenty of options to consider (hedges/cash outs/riding it out).

F) Chargers/Chiefs/Bengals/Bills/Rams all ML: $30 to win $77

These are all favorites that I feel extremely confident about. Whether they are playing terrible teams: Rams v Texans, Bengals v Jets..... or they are playing extremely good football: Bills.... or they are coming off a bye week: Chargers.... or I just can't envision them 2 games under .500: Chiefs - I find it extremely hard for anyone to convince me that anything other than an easy win for these 5 teams is going to happen this week. If you parlay all these together you actually get to positive juice - and that is the theme of this week's blog....

LET'S MAKE SOME MULAH BABAY!!