Do you know what's not sexy? Stacking consistent winning weeks one after the next. Will it get us famous in the Twitter-verse? Nah. Will we blow up virally? Nope. Did we achieve our goal? You bet your sweet ass we did. Last week, a few of our bets played exactly as we thought they would and we were able to place a hedge bet for MNF and guarantee ourselves a nice profit. Not only that, but the hedge bet was needed - we would have lost... not today DraftKings, not today!! After last week, StB is now 8-1 in terms of profit verses loss and boasting a 23% ROI. Now, you tell me what isn't sexy?!? Hot damn, my pants just got a little tighter.
I get it, nobody likes missing the big bet and just settling for a $25 profit here and $50 dollar profit there. It doesn't make for a great story - but would you walk by that money and not pick it up? Nah son, I am picking it up and I am taking my family out for a little Golden Coral.... hell, get yourself a nice fountain drink - DADDY IS SPLURGING TONIGHT!! Speaking on nice comfy profits here and there.... I highly recommend that you use the DraftKings Sportsbook website (no, I am not paid for this - but if you want to... here's looking at you DK) because they offer boosts every week. Just the other day I was given a 100% boost on any NBA game. We are all aware that a boost that size is just giving us free money. I took that free money and placed it on an outlandishly stupid bet: Did that bet hit? Nope. But it was free money, do with it as I please. That happens all the time - plenty of boosts out there that you can take advantage of.
Week 10 Card
A) Browns -2/Steelers ML/Eagles -2/LAR -3.5: $20 to win $297
I) Browns play the New England Patriots and they are now without Chubb in the backfield. The last time this happened D. Johnson rushed for 146 yards and a touchdown. Ohhhhh, and Myles Garrett is going to say hello to Mac Jones more than once.
II) Steelers face Detoilet and this is going to be a bloodbath. This is a good time for Pitt to try and rest some of their banged-up players and getting ready for the end of the season push.
III) Eagles take on Denver - one of these teams just shipped off their best player on the defensive side of the ball. Philly loves to run the ball.... this matchup represents great value for the visiting team.
IV) Rams are in the MNF game and give great value for the hedge. In all reality, StB should have widen the spread and presented a little bit better value for the hedge (you will see that take place further down).
B) SGP TNF: Andrews TD/Gaskin TD/Jackson over 49 rushing/Andrews over 44 receiving: $10 to win $110
This is a simple SGP that plays into the hands of some of the key players on offense for both teams. Andrews and Gaskins are focal parts of their respective team's offense and should both get looks in the redzone. Jackson has only failed one time this season not rushing for more than 50 yards. Andrews is in line to get 8-10 targets which should correlate to easy 45+ receiving yards. Let's hit this and start this week off right!!
C) T. Lawrence (passing) + J. Taylor (rushing) 350+ yards/D. Swift + N. Harris 175+ rushing and receiving/Kelce + Waller 150+ receiving/L. Jackson 303+ rushing and receiving: $20 to win $216
Here is the deal.... we placed a $10 parlay for all four events to happen to win $143 and then we took the Round Robin for each 3-leg parlay to happen at $2.50 each leg which made it $10 to win $73. If one of the legs fails and we hit 3 of the other we can win anywhere from $17 to $19. This essentially gives us a chance to earn back out amount wagered and also at the same time play for the big payday. I like each leg a lot and all of them easily obtainable.
D) Big Bet: $5 to win $4,100
Obviously, we are all aware of what this means.... WE ARE ADDING THAT COMMA TO OUR BANKROLL!!
I) The first four games are all ML - typically I like to use the alternate spread and find a way to boost up the odds a bit. However, giving up two points did not help the odds as much as keeping those points in our back pocket.
I) Browns represent great value for a team that is built to beat a Billy Boy New England team. They provide defensive pressure up front and they can pound the ball offensively. If Baker can stay mistake free (he looked amazing last week), the Brown should easily take this game.
II) I think Tennessee fooled everyone last week. I know that New Orleans is rolling out Trevor Siemian - but as long as they stick to the game plan.... feed Kamara, they should be fine. New Orleans has a very underrated defense and should be able to hold off a Henry-less Titans offense.
III) If Murray and Hopkins play, this is a lock. If they don't play, get ready for a good sweat.
IV) As stated earlier, Philly represents great value against a Denver team that is reeling and just about ready to fold on the season.
E) LAR -7/Chiefs -7/LAC -7/Browns -7: $20 to win $1,015
This is the same style bet as "C" for our card. We placed a $10 bet on the parlay to win $758 and $2.50 on each 3-leg parlay to win $262. This time if we miss just one of the legs we make money ($44 to $77). Given, in these matchups we have changed the lines up drastically - but I still love the odds for the lines. Rams, Chargers, Chiefs all have offenses that when they are clicking, they can put up points in hurry. The Browns looked amazing last week after the OBJ fiasco and if D. Johnson can have another big week - this bet has a legitimate chance of paying out some big dolla dolla bills y'all.
F) M. Andrews 5+ receptions/K. Pitts 5+ receptions/A. Firkser 2+ receptions: $15 to win $121
Time for the big men to have a good week catching the ball. Andrews and Pitts represent focal points in the passing offense for their respective teams. Firkser (Tennessee TE) should at least get a few extra targets with Tennessee looking to pass a little more than usual. I like his chances at securing at least two checkdowns from Tannehill throughout the game and locking this up for a big win.
G) Ravens/Buccaneers/Bills/Colts/Steelers/Cowboys/
Cardinals/Rams ML: $10 to win $65
These are all heavy favorites by the books (8 points or more). Whether they have a terrific matchup or they are a dominate team.... or they play on Monday Night Football. This is a final bet that is designed to be a little failsafe - last week the failsafe bet missed... this week it should hit and we should be sitting pretty with the option to hedge a couple bets come MNF.
It is time to be beautiful and time to make some money!!! Let's make this a big week and hit one of our big bets for a nice payout!
No comments:
Post a Comment