Remember back in week 1... when we lost every single bet we placed.... yeah that was not a good feeling. But look at what happened the following weeks - we went on a heater!! The following 8 weeks we profited over 61 units. There are very few betting cards that can boost that kind of number. We are now in familiar territory.... big loss in week 10.... not a good feeling.
TIME TO RUN IT BACK UP BABAY!!
Betting Card
A) Packers -9.5/Ravens -9.5/49ers -9.5/Eagles -9.5/Cardinals -9.5/Buccs ML: $5 to win $1,093
Outlandish? Possibly. But check this stat out...
Over 50% of the total NFL games played this far have finished in a double digit victory (75 out of the possible 149 games). On top of that, only one week has ended with less than six games at less than double digits and seven of the 10 weeks have had seven or more games end in a double digit margin. May the odds be ever in our favor...
I) Packers v Vikings: Aaron Rodgers is about to prove a point and stick it to the NFL - which is something he loves doing. Rodgers and Adams have torched the Vikings in the past and will continue do so until he begins telling people that their answer needs to be in question form.
II) Ravens v Bears: Who wants to play the Ravens after they were just man-handled by the dolphins? Who wants to play the Ravens after they get 10 days to prepare? Who really thinks the Bears have a chance of keeping this close? The answer to all three... "Not Me."
III) 49ers v Jaguars: The 49ers showed that they can score any a variety of ways.... and against any defense. Deebo Samuel might be the most elusive player in the NFL and Kittle has awakened and this offense is beginning take control of games.
IV) Eagles v Saints: This is the game that we are really betting on. This is the game that will be our sweat. I am just banking on the Philly defense to be able to stop the run game of New Orleans. When that happens, T-Dog will have to throw the ball and that is when Philly needs to take advantage.
V) Cardinals v Seahawks: Murray and Hopkins return and put a punctuation on the division with a big win against a healthy Seahawks team. The Cardinals and Rams are all-in this season and in order for that to take place they must beat the teams they are suppose to beat.... i.e. the Seahawks.
VI) Buccaneers v Giants: This is designed to be a hedge or cash out portion of the bet. But let's be honest... anybody doubting Brady after the brutal loss last week?
B) Diggs receiving + Taylor rushing 175+ yards/Harris + Ekeler 200+ total yards/Buccs ML: $20 to win $101
I) Taylor is playing like a man on fire... averaging over 100 yards rushing per game in the past 5 weeks. Diggs is averaging 89 yards a game. Do the math... we win.
II) Let's do the same... Harris is averaging 120 yards from scrimmage and Ekeler is averaging 87 yards from scrimmage (and he was dealing with a hip injury). Once again.... math works... we win.
III) GOAT vs Giants - easy money.
C) Patriots/Ravens/49ers/Buccaneers/Titans ML: $10 to win $39
These are all favorites that give us good odds and should be able to easily take care of business. Obviously, this is the NFL and you just never know what could happen - but I like to think this is the safest bet we have on the card. Disregard what happened last week... we can't change our style based upon one outlier. This is a bet that we can count on 9 times out of 10 and we already lost our one time last week, which means we are safe to hit this for the next 9 weeks, right? RIGHT? RIGHT? RIGHT?
D) TNF SGP... Pitts TD/Meyers TD/Henry TD/Ryan over 200 passing/Henry over 15 receiving/Meyers over 40 receiving/Pitts over 50 receiving: $15 to win $390
Shooters gotta shoot.... this could be the week we start off with a banger of a SGP hit! Pitts is due for a big game after last week's dud. Meyers and Henry having been cooking and are the main focal points of the offense through the air. When this hits, yes - I said WHEN, we will be looking for our big week to continue rolling! When you tail and place this bet you are really only watching a few players - Meyers/Henry/Pitts. The touchdowns are the big things, the yards should be extremely easy for the players to cover. The redzone will be the sweat zone for this bet - but hey, we gotta make weight for wrestling match - let's get a good sweat going!
E) BIG BET.... All Moneyline... Patriots/Colts/Ravens/Titans/Packers/49ers/Panthers/Dolphins/Eagles/Browns/Bengals/Cowboys/Cardinals/Chargers/Buccaneers: $5 to win $6,500
You already know this is going to hit - how could it not? I mean sure the Bills are great - but the Colts have the perfect recipe to beat them. Pound the ball and keep it out of the Allen's hands. Hell, if the Jacksonville Jaguars can do it - the Indianapolis Colts can as well. There is no hotter team than the Dallas Cowboys - is Prescott and the boys going to send a message that Mahomes is not the only golden child of the NFL. Will America's team take back the crown? Dallas v Kansas City is a possible Super Bowl preview and if we are still alive after the 1 o'clock games... it will be one really fun sweat!
F) Packers -4/Saints -3/Cardinals -5/Dolphins -7/Falcons +3/Bengals -4.5: $44.50 to win just under $800
Alright, here is the plan - this is 6 different alternate spreads that I really like in terms of matchups and odds value. I didn't throw-in any type of hedge bet or cash out because this is a Round Robin style bet. Meaning....
I bet .15 cents on every 2-game leg and 4-game leg. I only bet this amount so I could stay below the betting card limit. If you can't bet within your limits, you push yourself to the edge of losing it all.
I bet $2 on every 3-leg parlay - this is where the payout is. If we hit 3 games, we end fairly close to even.
If we hit 4 games... we hit our 4-game parlay, (4) 3-game parlays, (6) 2-game parlays.
If we hit 5 games... we hit (5) 4-game parlays, (10) 3-game parlays, (10) 2-game parlays.
If we hit all 6 games.... we win close to $800 - just getting ready for the big payoff!!!
Time to rebound from the bad beat last week and fill that bankroll back up!
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