Week 7 Bets

It is high time this blog blows up a little - Hey Dali, how about a little something for the effort?

If you have followed this blog - you are up 17 units (for us a unit is $5... but you could always bet a higher unit). Imagine a gambling blog that has won 5 weeks in a row and provided fantastic sweats - what more do you want???? Ohhhh you want a big win? Something that is easy to provide a profit? Sooooo you are telling me you don't like gambling? "Sweats" are apart of gambling and if you don't enjoy a good sweat - then you are following the wrong blog. Let's look at how you are going to make money and just how much you are going to make....

A) Falcons -3/Saints -3/Colts -3: $20 to win $220 (+1000)

Here are my thoughts... Falcons and Saints are coming off a bye week and have comfy matchups. Falcons face the Dolphins and Miami just played in London... historically teams have struggled with the travel and even more so after the return trip. The Saints are coming off the bye week and they will face-off against the Seahawks with Geno Smith. Which means we are looking at great odds for a Colts team that is playing very well - however, the 49ers are coming off a bye week and should be ready. Kittle is hurt and Lance is starting - which is only his 2nd game ever. This looks too juicy to pass up.

B) TNF SGP - Gordon TD/Fant TD/Broncos -4.5/Bridgewater 195+ Passing/Fant 39+ receiving and 4+ receptions: $15 to win $690 (+4500)

Let's be real - when you are betting a SGP you can pair up multiple occurrences to take place that would need to happen for a specific team to win. Soooooo, if I am going to bet that the Broncos are going to win by 5 or more points..... then that means that the Denver offense is going to have a day. In the games the Broncos have won this season, Bridgewater has thrown for 200+ yards and Denver has averaged 25 points per game - which gives plenty of opportunity for touchdowns. If Denver is to win the game, they will need to do it through their stars - Fant is a tremendous pass catching TE and Gordon provides opportunity through the air and ground. Once again, this is if Denver is going to win.... I highly recommend that if you think Cleveland is going to win - figure out what they would need to do in order for that to happen (throw the ball against Denver's secondary) and couple that with your bet.

C) Packers -2/Rams -4/Buccs -3/Saints -2: $25 to win $73 (+200)

Let's break it down....

I) Remember, "I still own you!" Yeah, that man is planning on playing football again this week. As long as the Packers have 12 under center and Adams running routes and Jones in the backfield - I am taking Green Bay. Realistically, I would be very comfortable giving up more points.

II) You think this game doesn't matter to these quarterbacks? I expect this to be fun game to watch - but one side is just a little too over qualified for this matchup. The LAR are a better team across the board and there is no chance the LAR defense is going to let their quarterback walk away without a victory against his former team.

III) Tom Brady... at home... nuff said.

IV) Saints are coming into town and they plan on taking all the Seattle Seahawks lunch money. Unfortunately for the NFL they probably were not picturing Geno Smith under center. Luckily, for New Orleans they get Geno Smith under center.

D) Big Bet Time: $5 to win $17,000+ (Odds are crazy)

 

Pictures say a thousand words..... or maybe 17 thousand words! The odds are always changing, but you should be able to get this bet placed anywhere between $17,000 and $18,000 - if you get more, don't turn it down. There are a multiple plus odds legs in this parlay, let's look at them....

I) Panthers -4: I love this line. Yes, Carolina is missing Run CMC - but let's not act like this defense isn't the true beast of the team. Carolina should have no trouble stopping this NYG attack, especially considering they will be missing Barkley.

II) Falcons -3: As I stated earlier, Atlanta is coming off a bye week and Miami just played in London - no brainer.

III) NY Jets +6: Personally, I think that the Wilson and the Jets are better than what America thinks. Remember, this is the same team that beat the Titans - and they just took down Buffalo. Wilson will make mistakes - but he will also make explosive plays. I would take the NYJ's playmakers of New England's any day, give me the points and the playmakers.

IV) Colts -3: To be completely honest, if we get this far - there will be some debating between cashing out or hedging the final two games. At that point, we will be facing a very nice pay day. I truly think Indianapolis will win this game - so many injuries on the San Fransisco side and Indy is beginning to look like a team that knows how to feed their bell cow (Taylor).

E) Matt Ryan over 281 passing/Noah Fant over 3 receptions: $20 to win $62 (+210)

If you haven't caught on yet - I really like the Falcons game. Especially considering they don't have a true running back (sorry Mike Davis truthers) and Ryan loves to call his own number. With Pitts/Patterson and Ridley now back in the mix - this should not take much for Ryan to surpass the pass total, he may even have this covered by the end of the 3rd quarter. Fant should get plenty of looks in a game that will be closer than what Vegas thinks. With injuries across the board for Cleveland - look Bridgewater to lean on his premier pass catchers... Sutton and Fant. Both of these legs should cover.... maybe even early.

F) Keenum over 220 passing/Wentz over 231 passing/Murray+Hopkins 2 or more rushing and receiving touchdowns: $15 to win $117 (+686)

Keenum is going to play on TNF - get this bet in as soon as possible. Chubb and Hunt are both out for the game... Broncos should run away with this game. This also means that the Browns will be in a negative game script and will need to throw the ball often. The Colts are at their best when Wentz is feeding Taylor the ball - but at some point they will need to keep the defense honest. It will not be hard for Wentz to reach this amount - which also hedges our bets featuring the Colts (possible negative game script). Murray and Hopkins welcome the Texans - which is very inviting for the Zona offense as a whole. Murray could possibly have multiple rushing touchdowns on his own, let alone using this game to feed his main target and keep him happy. Once we hit this and finish on top for the weekend, we can focus on multiple other bets and really start to pocket some mulah!!!

Time to be beautiful and make some money!!