To be completely candid with you - I am on vacation in Texas. My mind is with my family and having fun on the beach and going to shops and enjoying spending money..... BECUZ ALL WE DO IS WIN!!! This is now the 5 week in a row we finished on top - not by much this week, but finishing on top is finishing on top. When all you do is make profit - it is hard not to think that you will hit every single bet you make.
The reality is - we place multiple bets so that when a couple hit, we finish in the profit. I have this funny feeling that we are going to eventually hit every bet we place and we might just hit big.... soon.... really soon.
Let's look at Week 6 bets....
A) TNF SGP: Lost $15
Somehow, and I have no clue how, Miles Sanders hit the over in rushing yards against the Tampa Bay Buccs defense. Keep in mind this is the same defense that teams have just decided not to run against - teams like Dallas, Los Angeles (Rams), Miami, New England. We are talking about teams that generally rely on the run to create space for their receivers - all just avoided the ground. So yes, I have no clue how - but Miles Sanders hit the over in rushing yards.
B) Chiefs -2/Packers -2/Steelers -2: Won $49
The only thing that I am kicking myself about - why not give up more points for the Chiefs. There was no way Patty Mahomes was going out like a punk in the first half of the season. I also think I should have pushed the button a little more with the Packers. I don't if Rodgers reads the blog - he clearly must, since I referred to him as Daddy of Chicago - but he made it very clear that he still owns them....
C) Miscellaneous Round Robin: Lost $20
Not incredibly surprised here - but this would have been a bigger payday if it hit. There was a definite chance that Lawrence/Robinson had 2+ combined rushing touchdowns (actually surprised that did not hit). The Packer combo fell well short - but it also had ridiculous odds. I truly think the Chicago defense is tough - but you never when Rodgers has the ball and at anytime Jones/Adams could explode. The last portion was a complete bust - not sure Herbert knew what was happening during that game. The LAC offense could not get anything going... Colts fans should take note of how well their team is playing if the Baltimore defense completely shut down the LAC offense.
D) Weekly big bet: Lost $10
Honestly, this was much closer to paying out than what people think. We missed 3 games total... SNF, MNF, and the LAC/Baltimore game. Let's be honest, we were never to going to see the MNF game played out if we made it that far. It was always going to be a cash out or hedge at that time. SNF was probably in the same boat (no hedge, but possibly the cash out). More than likely if we made it to SNF we were getting a 4-digit cash out option... definitely would have taken that. Which means we only really missed a payout option by one game. Effin' LAC.
E) Ekeler/Fields/McLaurin/Sutton: Lost $20
Ehhhhh.... close but no cigar. McLaurin missed this portion - and he was in a game that he realistically should have exploded. Kansas City has proven time and time again that they could not stop anyone - but somehow McLaurin could reel in enough targets for this to hit. Not only that, but I also just made a big trade in one of my fantasy leagues for McLaurin - double whammy.
F) Rams/Colts/Steelers/Buccs: Won $55
This was a last minute switch for the betting card - once again... you need to follow @FFDojoSensei to keep up to date. Buccs were an easy choice and should have been featured throughout your card for the week. The Steelers also are in the same boat - that defense against Geno Smith? C'mon Man! Colts had a cupcake matchup against the Texans and the Rams had the NY Giants - tooooo easy. The real trick will be to find a way to get plus money in the future when you know Vegas is going to keep shifting odds as we know more and more about the NFL teams.
Week 6: $4 Profit
Season: $85 Profit (+17 units)
Be on the lookout for Week 7!!!!
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