The Lion. THE F*CKING LIONS. Who would have ever guessed that the Lions were going to be the Vikings. You know what that game cost us? 180ish dollars. How do you figure that amount? Well, we lost bet "C," which would have been $58. And we had our MNF game to go for bet "E," which would have been $316. Even though we lost the MNF game, we could have hedged or cashed out and taken some guaranteed profit. Remember, here at Stacking the Bet - we are in the business of hedging and taking guaranteed profit. Instead, we only made $58 on our $100 betting card - but the season still has 5 weeks to go and we are ready to get a nice lump sum back this week.
Right now, we are in the "Puke and Rally" stage of the party. Varsity Blue anyone? Anyone? We have all been there - we are at a party having a good time, drinking a little, chatting it up a little. We hit that stage when we start to feel pretty good and we get that drunken confidence that takes over. We think we can talk to any lady (or fella) and we got a definite chance of popping into one of those empty rooms in the back. In all reality - there is no way in hell that is ever going to happen. Doesn't matter. We hit that feel good confidence stride and we are willing to try anything. Then it hits you - hits you really hard. You can feel it inside, your mouth starts to water and there is nothing you can do about it. You gotta find the most convenient place to unload - time to make the puke happen. Once discharge all that your stomach has disagreed with, you gotta decide: Call it a night or PUKE AND RALLY!! I think you know which direction we are going.... TIME TO F*CKIN RALLY
Betting Card
A) TNF SGP: Steelers -2.5/Pitt race to 5/Pitt race to 10/D. Johnson touchdown: $10 to win $110
The concept behind this bet is the fact that the Vikings are still favored in a game in which their opponent has the better RB, better defense, and deeper receiving WR group (if Thielen remains hampered by injury). The only thing the Vikings have going for them is playing at home - look for Pitt to jump out to a large lead and let their defense take control of this game.
B) Chargers ML/Cowboys ML/Seahawks ML/Bills ML/Lions +8/Rams ML: $15 to win $380
I) Chargers are playing extremely good football right now. They are still in the hunt for their division and even without Allen - they should be able to find plenty of openings with M. Williams and Ekeler out of the backfield.
II) Cowboys need this win to pretty much lock up the division - there is no chance they are going to leave this one to doubt. Look for Dak to have an outstanding game and find his playmakers all over the field.
III) The Seahawks are playing the Texans - a team already eliminated from playoff contention - Russ and the boys should have an easy time picking a much needed win this week.
IV) The Bills are the underdog pick this week against the Buccs. I like to think that Allen and Diggs are going to prove to everyone that they can play in weather that isn't 55+ mph winds.
V) Lions +8.... we are talking about a team that is riding high after their first win in 1 year. Not to mention, the roster itself is not as far behind the Broncos as what the NFL wants you to think.
VI) Rams ML is a bet that we can always hedge or see what the cash out is. Now, they are underdogs - which means it will take a little more on the hedge, but we could see a higher cash-out offering with the increased odds of the parlay.
C) Seahawks/Chiefs/Cowboys/Chargers/Cardinals ML: $20 to win $99
I) Seahawks get a gift of having to face Davis Mills running the Texans offense - which is stagnant already and has looked even more dimensional with Mills at the helm.
II) Chiefs face the Raiders at home and it is a big division battle - no chance Mahomes lets this one slip away.
III) Cowboys are also in a division battle, but they are visiting Washington. Washington has a very good defense - but without Young putting pressure on Dak, this Dallas offense will be difficult to contain.
IV) Chargers.... did you see what they did to Cincy last week?
V) Cardinals play in the MNF game and this is a perfect hedge opportunity.
D) BIG BET - Steelers/Chiefs/Seahawks/Browns/Titans/Cowboys/Saints/Falcons/Chargers/Broncos/Bills/Bengals/Packers/Rams: $5 to win $3.4k
We were dangerously close to hitting last week... I can smell it, I can taste it, it is nearly in our grasp. The Steelers are underdogs in the TNF matchup - but they also come into the game with the better defense and plenty of weapons on offense. Look for them to pull off the upset and get this trending in the right direction.
Browns have a tough battle as well, going against the division leading Baltimore Ravens. However, Cleveland has the run game and defense to control the game and play it at their pace. Another option for this game would be to take the under and expect multiple clock draining drives from either side.
The Bills face the Buccs and this will a matchup featuring two teams with high post-season hopes. It is tremendously important to Buffalo as they find themselves in the middle of the WILD CARD race. Last week's loss hurt their division standings and also put them in the middle of the pack for the wild card - it would extremely detrimental if they were to lose this week and take back-to-back losses.
Obviously, as it should go without stating - the Rams are our hedge opportunity. We will most likely take the cash-out for this option. We would be offered right around $1,500 and it is going to be hard to walk away from that amount of money, especially with a game that should be extremely tight.
E) N. Harris 100+ rushing/D. Johnson 125+ receiving/J. Jacobs 58+ rushing: $15 to win $412
Najee and Johnson are the focal points of the Pittsburgh offense. Both of these teams (Steelers and Vikings) come in to this game needing a win to keep their playoff hopes alive. I think Pittsburgh has a chance to move the ball and the start the game Johnson could see multiple targets. To ice the game, Harris could see 20+ rushing attempts.
Jacobs is the guy in the backfield of Las Vegas. LV is going to need to keep the ball away from Mahomes - which means Jacobs is going to see plenty of action. This is an extremely low number, you could even bet this straight and feel really comfortable.
F) Rams/Seahawks/Cowboys/Giants +15: $20 to win $117
Let's just put it this way.... Cowboys and Seahawks should win their matchups. Rams are the MNF game - hedge opportunity. Which leaves the Giants against the LA Chargers. The Giants should lose, but the Chargers are without Allen and Williams, which gives a great opportunity to throw some extra points on the Giants side and hope they can slow down Ekeler and.......... crickets.
This puts us at $85 all-in for this week. Let's get this train rolling!!
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